Necessary-Tag
0x06f7cd57ffc5441cee3c0ffd9e556be595c053e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$54.89
Total PnL
$-487.79
Realised
$-12.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 1?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.96
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 31?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.95
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or below on July 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on July 30?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?
978 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 30?$4.93Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 29?$5.00Jul 30, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 30, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 29?$5.00Jul 30, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 29?$5.00Jul 30, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 1?$9.90Jul 30, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 1?$0.58Jul 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 30?$9.99Jul 30, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 42°C on July 30?$4.95Jul 30, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 30, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or below on July 30?$4.95Jul 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 30?$4.93Jul 30, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 30?$4.52Jul 30, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on July 30?$4.90Jul 30, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 30?$4.95Jul 30, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 29?$10.00Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 29?$10.00Jul 29, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29?$10.00Jul 29, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.