0x06fdb9a7a0b23dd8431a5c12235c0eefb4172688
0x06fdb9a7a0b23dd8431a5c12235c0eefb4172688
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$74.70
Total PnL
$-203.04
Realised
$-37.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
171 shares @ 20.5¢·now 22.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.67
$3.67
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
117 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.62
$-23.38
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
95 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
66 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
41 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$41.94Jul 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$26.66Jul 15, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$26.83Jul 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$36.14Jul 15, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$26.54Jul 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$14.29Jul 15, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$10.70Jul 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.78Jul 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$26.43Jul 15, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$31.75Jul 15, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$26.36Jul 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$34.77Jul 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$26.29Jul 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.15Jul 15, 04:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.27Jul 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$115.86Jul 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?$52.96Jul 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.91Jul 14, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $39.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.