Pretty-Butterfly
0x070905436dce4159718087aea79fae468130f6de
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-355.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
10468 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.40
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?
1667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
1182 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
975 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
541 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
268 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
209 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Feb 3, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$5.00Feb 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.14Feb 3, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.42Feb 3, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$14.10Feb 3, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$10.00Feb 2, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Feb 2, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?$5.00Feb 2, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?$10.00Feb 2, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$15.00Feb 2, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$1.00Jan 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$3.00Jan 31, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 31, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.00Jan 31, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.00Jan 31, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?$20.00Jan 31, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?$5.00Jan 31, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $11.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.