Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-15.2K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
3770 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-1.9K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1908 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-954.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1906 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-953.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
1905 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-952.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1904 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-952.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1904 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-952.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-950.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-950.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1899 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-949.50
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1899 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-949.50

Recent activity

REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?$1.02Feb 4, 08:15 UTC
REDEEMWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 1 of the 2026 flu season be at least 30?$1.58Feb 4, 08:15 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 1 of the 2026 flu season be at least 30?$1.50Jan 8, 07:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 11:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 11:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 11:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 11:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$10.00Dec 11, 11:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 11:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 11:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$954.00Dec 11, 10:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$954.00Dec 11, 10:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 10:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$945.50Dec 11, 10:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$946.50Dec 11, 10:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.9KDec 11, 10:31 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.50Dec 11, 10:19 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$2.00Dec 11, 10:18 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$944.50Dec 11, 10:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$947.00Dec 11, 10:17 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity38 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 33
Avg trade size: $689.89
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 11, 08:17 UTC
Last active: Feb 4, 08:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:29:40 UTC·src:Polymarket Data