Silly-Friendship-Ride
0x0713fabad7e2d807aae4926e9779f3f55f4487e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
171
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$30.84
Win rate
53%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
756 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
712 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
615 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-182.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
600 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
592 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
558 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-96.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
515 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
510 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
506 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.01Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$29.69May 28, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$26.26May 28, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$41.88May 28, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.12May 28, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$9.80May 28, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$31.21May 28, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$111.11May 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$31.53May 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$15.87May 28, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$44.74May 28, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
30 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $30.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.