Surprised-Link
0x071f0a57e01a7f4a4001c6468367662f04aaea52
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DEMOCRATIC
House control after 2024 election?
85 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
20 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-0.34
- YES
Iran military response today?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Iran military response by Friday?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
2 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$1.00Jan 15, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?$0.48Nov 25, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$1.70Nov 6, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.00Oct 17, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah enters Israel in September?$1.00Sep 18, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.49Sep 18, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$1.00Sep 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$1.00Sep 18, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$1.00Aug 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?$1.00Jul 31, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response by Friday?$1.00Jul 31, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?$1.00Jul 31, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response today?$1.00Jul 31, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMBiden seen in public Wednesday? $13.14Jul 27, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden seen in public Wednesday? $0.48Jul 24, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden seen in public Wednesday? $1.00Jul 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala announce VP pick by Aug 7?$1.00Jul 24, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out of presidential race?$1.56Jul 24, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".