Imaginary-Rush
0x07295e8e3f1dc42a6bdcb5e8c93c954bd3885f54
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$125.43
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-617.09
Win rate
31%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?
105 shares @ 44.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$78.22
$31.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on July 30?
50 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$47.21
$2.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?
1045 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?
632 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-229.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 9?
533 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?
488 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-45.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on July 19?
466 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?
445 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-63.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 10?
444 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-38.34
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 9?
379 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-48.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$32.37Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$9.05Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on July 30?$6.78Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on July 30?$27.14Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on July 30?$7.24Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on July 30?$11.05Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$0.84Jul 29, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$5.20Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$7.51Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$2.50Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$4.81Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$2.70Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$1.40Jul 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$5.58Jul 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on July 29?$25.68Jul 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$21.93Jul 29, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 30?$40.18Jul 29, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 30?$83.76Jul 29, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$45.92Jul 29, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$4.48Jul 29, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
42 closed markets, 31% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.