Dead-Job
0x072ac151bf0ecaa1da3c295c42b35fc66f1c3e85
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-9.86
Win rate
53%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or higher on December 11?
18020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-27.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 56°F or higher on December 8?
11722 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-14.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or higher on December 13?
4414 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?
4020 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-49.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?
3401 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-41.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on December 8?
3152 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-168.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on December 20?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on December 10?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on December 11?
2120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on December 15?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9AM ET$0.10Dec 25, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or below on December 20?$44.94Dec 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?$3.30Dec 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on December 20?$10.95Dec 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on December 20?$13.34Dec 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on December 21?$7.00Dec 21, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or higher on December 21?$10.57Dec 21, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or higher on December 21?$2.00Dec 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or higher on December 21?$3.00Dec 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or higher on December 21?$1.00Dec 21, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on December 20?$0.10Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on December 20?$0.10Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on December 20?$0.50Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 20?$0.03Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on December 20?$0.10Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on December 20?$0.07Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on December 21?$2.60Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on December 20?$0.51Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on December 20?$0.20Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on December 21?$13.00Dec 21, 03:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
49 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.