Wallet digest

active

Activity score

64/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$3.97

Total PnL

$-34.40

Realised

$3.61

Win rate

67%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$2.86
$0.86
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$1.11
$0.11
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
67 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.35
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
11 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026
$0.00
$-0.89
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026
$0.00
$-4.92
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.25May 15, 06:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.01May 15, 06:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.75May 15, 06:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.03May 15, 06:07 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.01May 15, 06:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.05May 15, 06:05 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.48May 15, 06:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1.03May 15, 06:02 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.10May 15, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.02May 15, 03:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.39May 15, 03:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.03May 15, 03:27 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.32May 15, 03:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.07May 15, 03:25 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.43May 15, 02:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.05May 15, 02:58 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.45May 14, 06:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.06May 14, 06:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.15May 14, 06:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.06May 14, 06:28 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry63 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $2.83
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 9, 16:12 UTC
Last active: May 15, 06:09 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:50:47 UTC·src:Polymarket Data