Entire-Rethinking
0x073e8a24024b38d69a2723a9dac1ffdaeb658416
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$764.36
Total PnL
$-527.91
Realised
$-187.57
Win rate
4%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
330 shares @ 84.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$273.87
$-4.96
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?
211 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$186.75
$-3.17
- NO
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?
175 shares @ 90.3¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$117.82
$-39.72
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
642 shares @ 24.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$41.76
$-113.20
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?
152 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$18.37
$-15.03
- NO
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$15.25
$-4.25
- YES
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
96 shares @ 30.8¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.05
$-18.41
- O 5.5
Will Cloud9 Win More than 5.5 Matches in LCS 2026 Summer Split?
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.80
$-2.40
- YES
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.43
$-1.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$7.67Aug 1, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$4.13Aug 1, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$16.60Aug 1, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by August 31?$5.87Aug 1, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by August 31?$7.89Aug 1, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.58Aug 1, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.62Aug 1, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?$2.94Aug 1, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?$3.42Aug 1, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?$48.24Aug 1, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?$49.71Aug 1, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?$37.39Aug 1, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?$35.93Aug 1, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?$91.00Aug 1, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$219.60Aug 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$22.57Aug 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$27.99Aug 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$65.76Aug 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$29.28Aug 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$127.12Aug 1, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $52.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.