0x073f56d5d2af78aec03aa47a166bf4a5589eea17
0x073f56d5d2af78aec03aa47a166bf4a5589eea17
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 14?
7078 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4AM ET
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
304 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 16?
49 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on February 16?
28 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- SLOVAKIA
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia
26 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 15?
14 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
11 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?$5.66Apr 21, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$2.49Feb 15, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 16?$1.50Feb 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 16?$2.49Feb 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 16?$2.49Feb 15, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 16?$2.50Feb 15, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on February 16?$2.50Feb 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 15?$2.49Feb 15, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$2.49Feb 14, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$2.49Feb 14, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?$2.49Feb 14, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?$2.49Feb 14, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?$2.50Feb 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$0.60Feb 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia$2.49Feb 14, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 14?$2.50Feb 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 14?$2.50Feb 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 14?$2.50Feb 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 15?$2.50Feb 14, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4AM ET$2.50Feb 14, 11:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.