Ecstatic-Formal
0x07444726c2113929d8118ec02814bdbbc6850d89
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.33
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-501.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 26, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.05Jan 26, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$1.04Jan 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$1.00Jan 15, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.00Jan 15, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMKaren Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in December?$1.01Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$1.02Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.03Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.04Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$2.05Jan 7, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $146.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.