Svelte-Casement
0x074f70217c364376e0922092d191e8f9a68d9b62
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$3.92
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET
515 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-155.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10AM ET
425 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-148.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9PM ET
330 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-90.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2PM ET
310 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-97.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12PM ET
305 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-90.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6PM ET
280 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-85.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8AM ET
229 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-45.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET
225 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-146.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1PM ET
225 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-71.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12PM ET
218 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-58.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 9, 7AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 9, 1AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 7PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 9, 4AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 9PM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET$5.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12AM ET$10.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 5PM ET$10.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 6PM ET$10.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 8, 5PM ET$10.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 9, 2AM ET$10.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5AM ET$15.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 8, 12PM ET$15.00Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 8, 4PM ET$17.70Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.