Quick-Witted-Melon
0x075462bf2d64e197440dda0b3481e06502e84955
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-130.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1426 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1385 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-69.73
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
762 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-57.68
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
745 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-24.83
- YES
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
633 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-165.78
- YES
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
602 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-117.08
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
573 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists
554 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.05
- OVER
England vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5
541 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
435 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$70.06Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$46.95Jul 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.35Jul 19, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$169.45Jun 26, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 2+ goals$46.79Jun 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: England 1st Half O/U 1.5$203.78Jun 23, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5$250.24Jun 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assists$102.51Jun 23, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5$106.83Jun 23, 16:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$209.11Jun 22, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$228.85Jun 22, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$228.82Jun 22, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 22, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 2.5$157.32Jun 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$157.42Jun 21, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$150.09Jun 21, 19:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $130.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.