Posh-Innocence
0x0764e60776113f9b43cb3c3723253723b8c16e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-476.23
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
22039 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-66.12
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
5565 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.32
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3550 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.52
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1167 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
787 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.58
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
767 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3AM ET
666 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6AM ET
666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
594 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBattle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$0.00May 25, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMBattle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$0.00May 25, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEM50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$0.00May 1, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Apr 11, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMStefon Diggs in jail by March 31?$50.82Apr 11, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$28.79Mar 11, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$56.96Mar 11, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$6.98Feb 16, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$94.87Feb 16, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valve to add first CS2 operation by January 31, 2026?$4.65Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$6.38Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$9.22Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$15.10Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$15.95Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$20.76Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$51.82Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMBody-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$59.94Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$91.79Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$207.32Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by January 31?$213.78Feb 5, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $188.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".