Impure-Rawhide
0x076f22acc5da8557b0b2fa58cdda806405fef309
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.06
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 6?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Auckland City win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 6?$1.00Jun 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?$1.00Jun 4, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Auckland City win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 4, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$0.84Jun 4, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.03Jun 4, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change?$1.22Jun 4, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Apr 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$1.00Apr 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change?$1.00Apr 3, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?$0.99Apr 3, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.01Apr 3, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$2.09Apr 3, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$2.00Mar 7, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?$1.00Mar 7, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.60 by February 28 2025?$1.01Mar 7, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.01Mar 7, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $4.50 by February 28 2025?$1.02Mar 7, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $435 - 440b on February 28?$1.03Mar 7, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$1.00Feb 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?$1.00Feb 9, 06:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.