Untried-Pipeline
0x07737f6714d089608a4ce7921081f5851271a3ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
146 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will $BTC reach 80k before September?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
63 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?
55 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 100-109 times?
49 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$115.00Feb 10, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$33.35Jan 27, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.15Oct 4, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?$0.11Sep 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Sep 1, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $BTC reach 80k before September?$0.12Aug 31, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 100-109 times?$0.10Aug 29, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.07Aug 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.12Aug 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.13Aug 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.14Aug 28, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States win the 3rd most gold medals?$0.00Aug 28, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.13Aug 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.11Aug 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.14Aug 9, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.12Aug 9, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the 3rd most gold medals?$0.12Aug 7, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$93.90Aug 7, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$94.00Aug 7, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$93.90Aug 7, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $28.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.