Quick-Meteorology
0x0775258c999640655f3cc60d82a109bf8e88d1b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.08
Total PnL
$-39.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Evo Morales arrested by July 31?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will Bolivia win on 2026-03-31?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
4 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
CDT Real Oruro vs. Club The Strongest: Both Teams to Score
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSouth Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance$2.74Jun 28, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by July 31?$2.05Jun 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance$2.02Jun 28, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jun 28, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.49Jun 24, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.02Jun 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.01Jun 18, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 18, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$7.35Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$5.05Jun 16, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$9.80Jun 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$5.07Jun 15, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$3.03Jun 14, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$2.03Jun 14, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5$1.02Jun 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$1.01Jun 14, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.64Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5$1.52Jun 14, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.