Golden-Floor
0x0791ed642affcde8b2c7b709c1545e84b0bf385b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$92.44
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$-136.21
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$17.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
20 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$13.70
$0.30
- UP
Bulbasaur Price Up/Down on August 31?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.70
$1.90
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$11.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.30
$1.50
- UP
Mega Dragonite ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.40
$0.80
- UP
Mega Charizard Y ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.90
$-1.10
- UP
Mega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.20
$-3.20
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.87
$-0.16
- NO
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$2.30
$-3.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.94Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?$3.03Aug 15, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?$10.20Aug 15, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jynxzi Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?$0.75Aug 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?$13.40Aug 15, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?$3.20Aug 15, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?$5.80Aug 15, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?$10.40Aug 15, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?$9.80Aug 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$7.17Aug 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$2.40Aug 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMega Gengar ex Price Up/Down on August 31?$8.40Aug 15, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulbasaur Price Up/Down on August 31?$10.80Aug 15, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMega Charizard Y ex Price Up/Down on August 31?$7.00Aug 15, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMega Dragonite ex Price Up/Down on August 31?$6.60Aug 15, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$8.47Aug 15, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?$1.40Aug 15, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$18.00Aug 13, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$17.00Aug 8, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$19.99Aug 1, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $40.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.