0x079202b679ad9917f218ec1a1074dd494ff7b8ae
0x079202b679ad9917f218ec1a1074dd494ff7b8ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$19.62
Total PnL
$0.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$3.57
$1.68
- YES
Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$2.03
$0.49
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$2.02
$0.44
- NO
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?
8 shares @ 25.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 75.6¢·now 77.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.94
$0.04
- NO
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.81
$-0.05
- NO
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
4 shares @ 41.0¢·now 49.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.76
$0.29
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.71
$0.13
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.2¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.00
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.24
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of July 27 2026?$1.33Jul 28, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 27, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.51Jul 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?$1.55Jul 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?$1.93Jul 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?$1.89Jul 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$1.58Jul 25, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2.00Jul 24, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.58Jul 24, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?$2.06Jul 23, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.92Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 01:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.