Insecure-Prosperity
0x079919b3cde126299d722ad66b097c9a10eb31e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-509.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
341 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-98.88
- YES
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
264 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- DU PLESSIS
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
210 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-64.70
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
118 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.30
- YES
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
94 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
81 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
57 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-28.05
- FIGUEIREDO
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)
51 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DELLA MADDALENA
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- CORTEZ
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.23Jun 30, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$2.50Jun 30, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$6.25Jun 29, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance$8.33Jun 28, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$1.03Jun 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$1.03Jun 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance$1.02Jun 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance$6.05Jun 28, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$4.00Jun 28, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.02Jun 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$1.02Jun 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$1.02Jun 27, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.