Unacceptable-Gray
0x079a1abb566f187c42cf5f87b4d654c46807ee61
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$234.45
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?
8933 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-19.64
- NO
Will 'Sinners' gross between $44m and $49m on opening weekend?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will 'Sinners' gross between $49m and $54m on opening weekend?
6071 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-8.42
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3900 July 28–August 3?
3507 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?
1821 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-17.30
- NO
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?
1688 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.05
- YES
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $26m or more but less than $29m opening weekend?
1550 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.30
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
1407 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-517.93
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
1230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?
1228 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-30.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?$0.24Nov 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?$0.96Nov 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?$1.20Nov 28, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Overtime" during Jets vs Dolphins game? (September 29)$1.01Oct 2, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $220 on October 1?$10.40Oct 2, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 2?$5.00Oct 2, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 2?$7.60Oct 2, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 2?$4.00Oct 2, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 2?$11.20Oct 2, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?$0.12Oct 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?$1.38Oct 1, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by September 30?$3.50Oct 1, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $220 on October 1?$5.00Oct 1, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 1?$1.47Oct 1, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 1?$0.02Oct 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.90 on October 1?$1.98Oct 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $3.00 on October 1?$0.02Oct 1, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.90 on October 1?$0.02Oct 1, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 1?$2.94Oct 1, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 1?$0.03Oct 1, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.