Flawless-Business
0x07a539c7c5a0d0766f752991f58c88aba7250a68
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$67.79
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-78.19
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$20.84
$10.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
20 shares @ 50.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$19.80
$9.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$10.20
$5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$6.94
$1.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
149 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
135 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-34.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
117 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-54.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
106 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.05Aug 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.06Aug 8, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.17Aug 8, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$5.18Aug 8, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.17Aug 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.17Aug 8, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$5.27Aug 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.18Aug 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$5.19Aug 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5.10Aug 8, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.00Mar 16, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$20.00Mar 16, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$8.61Mar 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$20.00Mar 15, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$14.39Mar 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$8.84Mar 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$11.97Mar 14, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$20.00Mar 14, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.