Grandiose-Sentencing
0x07afa11d64de0b452004dc14208c3f499a6d842e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$9.58
Total PnL
$-324.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 22?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 22?
123 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
162 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
87 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
55 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
52 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 22?$1.05Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 22?$1.05Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$1.03Jul 21, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$1.04Jul 21, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.99Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.19Jul 21, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.61Jul 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.03Jul 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.69Jul 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$6.45Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.10Jul 20, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4.24Jul 20, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.