Lawful-Maiden
0x07b5bc180958b10818d50e52f4437cba652e805e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-33.72
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
691 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
656 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-203.40
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
566 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
493 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-367.29
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
389 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-224.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
302 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-254.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$98.33Jul 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 8.5$91.72Jul 18, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$307.05Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$145.62Jul 11, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$244.44Jul 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$178.46Jul 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$77.33Jul 9, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$48.55Jul 9, 21:51 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$542.60Jul 9, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$305.61Jul 9, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.04Jul 8, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.56Jul 8, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.04Jul 8, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.25Jul 8, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.01Jul 8, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.16Jul 8, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.06Jul 8, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.33Jul 8, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00Jul 8, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $131.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.