Quintessential-Guide
0x07b9d3c9311736291a671fc30e1f0728776adb98
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$82.79
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?
4440 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-330.36
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times August 1–August 8?
3692 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-11.07
- YES
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?
2966 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-11.87
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?
2864 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-185.66
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?
2484 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?
2309 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-97.54
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?
2123 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-151.64
- YES
Will Elon tweet 315–329 times August 1–August 8?
1956 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-298.51
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?
1654 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-154.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times August 1–August 8?
1540 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-17.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.33Nov 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$2.00Oct 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$81.11Aug 12, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Big Balls" or "Coristine" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$207.58Aug 11, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$42.18Aug 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$87.91Aug 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Balls" or "Coristine" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$41.04Aug 11, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Balls" or "Coristine" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$115.34Aug 11, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DOGE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?$65.09Aug 11, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "BRICS" this week?$0.00Aug 11, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$0.00Aug 11, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "BRICS" this week?$35.00Aug 11, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$158.82Aug 11, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$11.67Aug 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$2.00Aug 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$1.25Aug 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$2.50Aug 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$0.98Aug 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times August 8–August 15?$0.25Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sanction" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?$236.00Aug 9, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $64.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.