Miserable-Vivo
0x07bb822d543e333064d15edce000079e95c1b0e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
3077 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-722.74
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
769 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?
478 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
257 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-51.69
- YES
Will Wessel Nijman win the PDC World Darts Championship?
196 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
183 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-110.08
- NO
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Darts Championship?
117 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00May 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.28May 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.10May 7, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10.52May 7, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$10.42May 7, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?$41.83May 7, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.92May 7, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.03May 7, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$111.40May 6, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Feb 25, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$2.35Dec 19, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no coalition by October 31?$2.35Dec 19, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$16.72Dec 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$10.07Dec 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?$6.65Dec 19, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$20.00Dec 19, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$20.00Dec 19, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$173.78Dec 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$39.99Dec 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$40.00Dec 16, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $34.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.