Tragic-Chalk
0x07bfa3cff67a664313682b73ec8dab35695a3387
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
11 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$0.40Feb 10, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$1.00Feb 1, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$1.00Feb 1, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLittle Rock Trojans vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: O/U 142.5$0.38Jan 31, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$0.86Jan 31, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$1.00Jan 31, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$1.00Jan 31, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?$1.00Jan 31, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score$1.00Jan 31, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 26, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 26, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 26, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?$6.60Jan 22, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.60Jan 20, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.52Jan 1, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.52Jan 1, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$6.53Jan 1, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".