Fortunate-Street
0x07c275c45af0fc31b7a5af6daa11f65187387a17
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-520.01
Realised
$0.36
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?
15909 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-318.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 6?
4106 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-69.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?
2313 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-69.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 10?
1112 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on March 10?
176 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 6?
104 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 10?
93 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?
76 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 6?
23 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on March 10?
17 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?$18.15Mar 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 11?$2.94Mar 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?$0.45Mar 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?$0.01Mar 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 11?$21.57Mar 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 11?$0.51Mar 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 11?$0.10Mar 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 11?$0.10Mar 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 10?$24.98Mar 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 11?$15.62Mar 11, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?$0.16Mar 11, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 9?$3.99Mar 11, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 10?$4.64Mar 11, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 11?$2.22Mar 11, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?$0.61Mar 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?$5.67Mar 10, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?$0.11Mar 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?$7.48Mar 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 11?$5.67Mar 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 11?$2.12Mar 10, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.