Shameless-Dune
0x07cae2e9d15096ba2f43f066e6059a505030e577
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-135.66
Realised
$0.62
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- LAVKED
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
171 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 16?
143 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 16?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- BERNARD TOMIC
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Bernard Tomic
90 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- ALYCIA PARKS
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks
52 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-8.84
- CEZAR CRETU
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
40 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 16?
36 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 7?$1.97Jun 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4?$3.32Jun 4, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4?$1.13Jun 4, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4?$3.40Jun 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4?$2.10Jun 4, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$3.22Jun 4, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$3.00Jun 4, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$2.05Jun 4, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$3.10Jun 4, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 4?$2.92Jun 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 on June 4?$2.79Jun 4, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4?$2.80Jun 4, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4?$2.50Jun 4, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5?$1.19Jun 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4?$5.15Jun 4, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?$2.10Jun 4, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?$2.10Jun 4, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 5?$2.50Jun 4, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 7?$2.01Jun 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 4?$2.68Jun 4, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.