0x07ce2cf64384b13b086778e2883b93adcb05db5c
0x07ce2cf64384b13b086778e2883b93adcb05db5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-70.57
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
2114 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.1K
$52.85
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
3504 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.1K
$17.52
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160855 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$241.28
$-80.43
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111868 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.80
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10366 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$119.21
$-88.10
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28520 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$71.30
$-14.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.1KJun 24, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1.1KJun 24, 10:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.2KJun 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.2KJun 23, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$2.3KJun 23, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$2.3KJun 23, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$1.8KJun 22, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$0.00Jun 22, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$0.00Jun 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$1.0KJun 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 22, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5$4.67Jun 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5$106.14Jun 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?$105.93Jun 22, 17:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?$129.26Jun 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$128.07Jun 22, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJun 22, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $869.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.