Private-Eviction
0x07cf80fbecbb58e23d5ed977af7be3c09e7aa9fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$760.74
Realised
$470.25
Win rate
54%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$451.50
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
1038 shares @ 20.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$410.13
$195.62
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$286.65
$13.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
3269 shares @ 3.5¢·now 7.7¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$251.74
$137.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
1310 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$86.44
$52.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
1242 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$83.24
$50.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?
1217 shares @ 3.8¢·now 5.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$72.42
$25.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?
1307 shares @ 2.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$71.90
$41.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?
1266 shares @ 2.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$70.24
$39.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$0.52Jun 24, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$0.52Jun 24, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$1.20Jun 24, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$1.20Jun 24, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$1.20Jun 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$6.20Jun 24, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.04Jun 24, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.02Jun 24, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.02Jun 24, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.02Jun 24, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.02Jun 24, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.03Jun 24, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.00Jun 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.00Jun 24, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.90Jun 24, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.08Jun 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$787.14Jun 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$202.85Jun 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.80Jun 24, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$0.10Jun 24, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.