Natural-Modernity
0x07d106d38c4cf00aae358e5217b212734fabd2e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Benny Blanco named sexiest man alive?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2024$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
10 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Everton wins the Premier League?
7 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Isiah Pacheco be the top Fantasy Running Back?
4 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
1 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$0.03Nov 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate David M. Friedman for Israeli Ambassador?$0.04Nov 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCO-8 election: Caraveo (D) vs. Evans (R)$0.01Nov 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Nicole Shanahan for FDA Commissioner?$0.04Nov 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Cenat hit 1m subscribers during his subathon?$0.03Nov 12, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBenny Blanco named sexiest man alive?$1.00Nov 12, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win North Dakota Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Montana Governor Election?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Oregon Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBiden removed via 25th Amendment?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Alabama Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Minnesota US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 12, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$0.02Oct 17, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 3.0%-4.0%?$0.01Oct 9, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl before election?$0.01Oct 8, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?$0.00Oct 6, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".