Reliable-Recollection
0x07d601375c9bbb9037ad3c7a8f8fa0deff8164fb
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$690.61
Total PnL
$56.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 2?
181 shares @ 73.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$165.25
$33.02
- YES
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?
146 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$145.48
$1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on May 3?
226 shares @ 52.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$123.28
$5.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 3?
103 shares @ 73.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$77.61
$1.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on May 3?
69 shares @ 87.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$58.38
$-2.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 2?
57 shares @ 71.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$52.64
$11.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 2?
58 shares @ 76.2¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$49.09
$5.09
- NO
Will London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in April?
19 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$18.88
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 2?$3.773h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on May 1?$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on May 3?$11.903h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 2?$19.304h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on May 3?$24.244h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on May 3?$24.794h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on May 3?$120.534h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 2?$11.705h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 2?$9.245h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 3?$36.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 3?$39.796h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 2?$107.0913h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on May 2?$29.7814h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 2?$42.5016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 2?$12.2817h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?$9.3217h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?$3.5617h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?$3.5617h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?$3.4817h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on May 1?$3.5717h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".