Unrealistic-Snuggle
0x07d953fcebfda7ae3e350266e9b6bba1f8064c53
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$148.62
Total PnL
$-278.94
Realised
$16.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
236 shares @ 44.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.22
$-10.62
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
277 shares @ 11.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$55.40
$24.93
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?
345 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-44.85
- NO
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?
246 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-63.96
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
230 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-48.30
- NO
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
205 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-92.25
- NO
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
137 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.62
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
37 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.72
- YES
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?
7 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- NO
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$5.00May 25, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by January 31?$19.00May 25, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$143.00May 25, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$309.00May 25, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$455.00May 25, 09:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 31, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 29, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 25, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 22, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 21, 01:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 19, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 18, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 09:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.