Gentle-External
0x07dfcc2d7686b8939412117e2f39f3d17ba86398
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-480.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?
230 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?
217 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 28?
212 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 28?
209 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Nepali Congress (NC) win between 110 and 119 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?
197 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- NO
Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
193 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-191.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 24?
193 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 1?
190 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
187 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?$156.28Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?$154.87Jul 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$2.95Jul 20, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$1.56Jul 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 7?$2.51Jul 6, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$1.07Jun 2, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?$196.72Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?$194.16May 31, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMSisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?$89.95May 31, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$87.37May 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$85.71May 22, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?$102.23May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?$0.15May 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 15?$99.63May 14, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 14?$2.08May 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$2.50May 8, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 21?$100.98May 7, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 28?$1.21Apr 28, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $140 on January 23?$0.00Apr 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 21?$0.27Apr 21, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.