Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress
0x07e156cddecececf9404595aedddf7e1eece27af
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$57.5K
Total PnL
$505.41
Realised
$32.42
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6950 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.9K
$112.34
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
6045 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.0K
$125.11
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
4642 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.6K
$103.35
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
4623 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.6K
$47.95
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
3541 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$25.49
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2918 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$72.50
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
2552 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.5K
$54.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2524 shares @ 87.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$58.79
- NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
2025 shares @ 98.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-66.79
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1924 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$15.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$651.18Jun 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-16?$189.35Jun 14, 17:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.4KJun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.99Jun 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$577.85Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.7KJun 13, 16:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$407.03Jun 12, 12:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.7KJun 11, 18:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 9, 21:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $440.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.