Mad-Outcome
0x07e7de48e7c042cf501b6a316265bd3de265d11f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$62.43
Total PnL
$-554.82
Realised
$3.55
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
199 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.44
$-2.56
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.39
$0.21
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49 shares @ 12.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 1?
103 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?$12.10May 23, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?$3.28May 23, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?$3.57May 23, 00:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul$1.02May 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLInternationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian$0.77May 22, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?$1.02May 22, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".