Impossible-Slaw
0x07e8355d4d207b80c1d9788d1f1dc004d37ac939
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$536.28
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
5120 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$194.58
$80.88
- NO
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
3920 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$137.19
$0.63
- NO
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
3589 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$118.43
$-9.80
- NO
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
4782 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$86.08
$-79.69
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-22.98
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ireland win Eurovision 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-23.90
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$12.51Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$14.27Jul 21, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$18.26Jul 21, 12:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.19Jul 20, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$16.50Jul 20, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$19.84Jul 20, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.08Jul 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.04Jul 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.04Jul 20, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$6.37Jul 20, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$12.00Jul 20, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$5.63Jul 20, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$13.17Jul 20, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$10.68Jul 20, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.15Jul 20, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.10Jul 20, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.31Jul 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.30Jul 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$1.65Jul 20, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.