Impassioned-Cat
0x07f1470cba71a569c2b63b44c8609804e21ae532
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$75.35
Total PnL
$-477.26
Realised
$-12.02
Win rate
10%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
77 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.35
$1.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ELINA AVANESYAN
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Elina Avanesyan
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- VICTORIA
National Cricket League, Women: Queensland Fire vs Victoria
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on March 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WLGAMING ESPORTS
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PERTH WILDCATS
Perth Wildcats vs. Sydney Kings
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NIELS VISKER
Cherbourg: Alex Knaff vs Niels Visker
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Kotov vs. Chidekh: Match O/U 21.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$69.21Jul 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.16Jul 15, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$2.30Jul 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$20.00Jul 8, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$9.99Jul 7, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48.69Jul 6, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?$14.99Jul 6, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$44.81Jul 6, 03:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jul 5, 15:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?$14.09Jul 4, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France? AND Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco?$2.00Jul 4, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?$9.99Jul 4, 15:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt? AND Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?$4.99Jul 3, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$14.99Jul 3, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$32.23Jul 3, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $22.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.