Reflecting-Man-Charlatan
0x07f1a7be137c6e7f8391a80a29c667fa8dfd73e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$13.89
Total PnL
$-12.68
Realised
$15.61
Win rate
84%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 13?
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.12
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 13?
60 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.83
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?
60 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.50
$0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 14?
62 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.39
$-0.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 14?
53 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.21
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 13?
50 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.11
$0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?
65 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?
35 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.97
$0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 13?
37 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.64
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 13?
41 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.51
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 13?$0.021m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 13?$1.178m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1013m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1013m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.0713m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 14?$0.1015m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?$0.1717m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 13?$0.0019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1019m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.0819m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1720m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?$0.1633m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 13?$0.5140m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 13?$0.7242m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?$0.2249m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 13?$0.1357m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?$0.151h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 1m ago
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
