0x07f5b6b45a9f9a102369dc827755a0b6c9d40079
0x07f5b6b45a9f9a102369dc827755a0b6c9d40079
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-358.76
Realised
$-0.58
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Belgium vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?
1156 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-80.90
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
403 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-96.79
- YES
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?
193 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.27
- UNDER
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5
151 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.14
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
97 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-14.48
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
91 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-16.41
- YES
Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?
78 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- YES
Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?
63 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
53 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
45 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$15.83Jul 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?$16.02Jul 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?$16.82Jul 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$16.81Jul 6, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: England (-2.5)$17.07Jul 6, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-2.5)$44.54Jul 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$5.00Jul 6, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$19.79Jul 6, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?$9.56Jul 5, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$32.13Jul 5, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5$20.57Jul 5, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$19.80Jul 5, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$4.94Jul 5, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5$19.79Jul 5, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-04?$36.04Jul 4, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-04?$24.75Jul 4, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?$83.16Jul 1, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$82.55Jul 1, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$89.09Jul 1, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?$99.00Jul 1, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $40.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 21:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.