Heavy-Wiretap
0x07f944cff6a21c3ad10f145fc6fb6b05f4836b83
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 26?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?
1015 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?
768 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$92.09Jun 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$92.00Jun 8, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 8?$3.21Jun 8, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$95.10Jun 8, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$95.01Jun 1, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$2.14Jun 1, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$97.10Jun 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$97.00May 23, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 17?$1.00May 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$1.00May 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?$1.20May 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 17?$1.20May 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?$93.09May 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?$93.00May 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?$1.07May 17, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 17?$1.20May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?$1.20May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 17?$1.00May 17, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$1.00May 17, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?$2.14May 17, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $62.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.