Academic-Meteor
0x07fd560b73806637ba2474d651f66cdfc796ad26
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$799.83
Total PnL
$62.12
Realised
$1.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 33.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.90
$32.90
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 87.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$32.47
$2.47
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 72.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$31.66
$6.75
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?
28 shares @ 68.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$24.78
$5.64
- NO
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 95.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$24.36
$-0.64
- NO
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
27 shares @ 72.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$24.03
$4.03
- NO
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
24 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.57
$1.57
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$22.46
$2.46
- NO
Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$21.73
$1.73
- NO
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?
36 shares @ 73.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$21.20
$-4.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?$2.00Aug 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1.96Aug 21, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$4.05Aug 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?$1.00Aug 21, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?$5.00Aug 21, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$10.00Aug 21, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?$1.01Aug 21, 06:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 20, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$0.00Aug 19, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$3.13Aug 19, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?$16.63Aug 19, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$12.20Aug 19, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$0.05Aug 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$0.26Aug 18, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 16, 2026?$0.00Aug 18, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$5.00Aug 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?$5.00Aug 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?$16.00Aug 18, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.