Self-Assured-Hop
0x080347e5bd3970a90098cad470332570d686d531
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
182
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
533 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
38 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.26
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
38 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.26
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
38 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.26
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
37 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
34 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
33 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.97
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
33 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.66
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
33 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$104.43May 19, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$104.31May 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$103.57May 19, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$264.39Apr 2, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$200.00Feb 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$63.00Feb 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$154.00Feb 27, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$29.28Feb 26, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$10.46Feb 26, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$4.88Feb 26, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$96.90Feb 21, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $40?$10.00Feb 14, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $30?$100.00Feb 14, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $20?$400.00Feb 14, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$0.00Feb 13, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$30.00Feb 13, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $77.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.