Fond-Hardboard
0x081a1bbab58fab5b197f5c4b7b366d15f8be934d
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 1?$1.00Apr 30, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?$10.10Apr 30, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31?$10.00Mar 31, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.16Feb 27, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?$7.16Feb 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?$7.15Jan 25, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?$2.82Jan 25, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?$2.00Dec 24, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Magic$1.14Dec 24, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Pelicans$1.23Dec 24, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Bucks$1.28Dec 24, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Rockets$1.33Dec 24, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Pelicans$1.00Nov 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Rockets$1.00Nov 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Bucks$1.00Nov 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Magic$1.00Nov 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India win?$1.00Nov 14, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 19:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.