Bold-Mochi
0x081c2f3c0a7296c6e68e214a45088320c837c4e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$24.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.94
$-1.06
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.74
$-2.26
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
220 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.54
$-2.46
- YES
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
6510 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5250 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-156.09
- YES
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1269 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
1224 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-188.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
1178 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.