Early-Substance
0x081e46803a981c1be3e0396d8faa6fbcbaa6d651
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-486.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
221 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
132 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?
102 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
88 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
73 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$84.39Jan 5, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$0.00Aug 5, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$0.00Aug 5, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$0.00Aug 5, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$120.00Aug 5, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?$50.00Aug 3, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$151.52Aug 3, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$14.35Jul 31, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$12.31Jul 31, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$16.34Jul 31, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$86.40Jul 31, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?$4.59Jul 23, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?$3.67Jul 23, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?$0.54Jul 23, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$20.48Jul 23, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$9.60Jul 23, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?$43.50Jul 23, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?$11.20Jul 23, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?$8.32Jul 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$24.19Jul 22, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $39.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 15:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".