Direct-Machine
0x0829caa3f78f28e1092fa579067d3308b7c91745
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$16.98
Total PnL
$-178.37
Realised
$2.00
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
268 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.62
$1.62
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 13.8¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will anyone say "Fuck" or "Fucking" 3+ times during South Park e6 s27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
280 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$5.08Jun 3, 11:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$2.01Jun 2, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$2.04Jun 2, 15:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14May 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$16.06May 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$14.00May 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$3.30May 20, 05:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$10.83May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$10.32May 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30May 17, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".