Pretty-Redesign
0x082a4a0674ee49b998387e8737bb7ec4589d09d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$-115.52
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
9963 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
6499 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-499.99
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1316 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
493 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-295.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
366 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-299.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
349 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-299.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
348 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-298.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
344 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-299.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
344 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-295.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
337 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-299.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$500.00Mar 9, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$2.5KMar 9, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$306.09Mar 3, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$312.38Mar 3, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$300.00Mar 3, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$300.00Mar 3, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$312.38Mar 3, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$315.58Mar 3, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$300.00Mar 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$299.06Mar 3, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$306.09Mar 2, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$329.12Mar 2, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$300.00Mar 1, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Mar 1, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$300.00Mar 1, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$322.37Feb 28, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $201.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.